Losing Adam Wainwright to Tommy John Surgery is a huge blow to the Cardinals’ starting rotation, but they still have a lot of talent lined up for the 2011 season. 35-year old righty Chris Carpenter will be the ace of the starting rotation. He started 35 games for the Cardinals last season and he was 16-9 with a 3.22 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Carpenter has now pitched in 161 games (160 starts) in his first seven years with the Cardinals and he is 84-33 with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. He won the Cy Young Award in the National League back in 2005 for the Cardinals and he is as solid as they come when healthy.
24-year old lefty Jaime Garcia will slot #2 in the Cardinals’ starting rotation in 2011. He started 28 games for the Cardinals last season and he was 13-8 with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Garcia has now pitched in 38 games (29 starts) in his first two years with the Cardinals and he is 14-9 with a 2.96 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Garcia finished 3rd in the voting for the N.L. Rookie of the Year Award last season and he might even be better in 2011.
33-year old righty Jake Westbrook started 12 games for the Cardinals last season and he was 4-4 with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. He pitched in 33 games (all starts) overall last season for the Cardinals & Indians and he was 10-11 with a 4.22 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Westbrook has now pitched in 233 games (193 starts) in his first 10 years in the majors and he is 73-75 with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Westbrook is a workhorse, so he should help the Cardinals replace some of Wainwright’s innings in 2011.
32-year old righty Kyle Lohse will be the Cardinals’ #4 starter coming into 2011. He started 18 games for the Cardinals last season and he was 4-8 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP. Lohse has now pitched in 74 games (73 starts) in his first three years with the Cardinals and he is 25-24 with a 4.68 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. The Cardinals need Lohse to get back to being the pitcher he was for them in 2008.
26-year old righty Kyle McClellan will likely be the #5 starter for the Cardinals when the 2011 season begins. He will be converting from the bullpen, which shouldn’t be much of an issue as Dave Duncan (the pitching coach) really helps out his pitchers in this kind of transition. McClellan pitched in 68 games (0 starts) for the Cardinals last year and he was 1-4 with 2 saves, a 2.27 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP. He has now pitched in 202 games (0 starts) in his first three years with the Cardinals and he is 7-15 with 6 saves, a 3.23 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. I have a feeling that he’s going to do a solid job for the Cardinals in 2011.
40-year old righty Miguel Batista will likely start the season in the pen, but he could start if needed. Batista pitched in 58 games (1 start) for the Nationals last year and he was 1-2 with 2 saves, a 3.70 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. He has now pitched in 588 games (238 starts) in his first 16 years in the majors and he is 96-110 with 41 saves, a 4.51 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP. Batista is a very versatile pitcher who will help the Cardinals wherever they need him to in 2011.
26-year old righty P.J. Walters comes into this season as the Cardinals’ #17 prospect according to Baseball America. Walters pitched in 7 games (3 starts) for the Cardinals last season and he was 2-0 with a 6.00 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. He also pitched in 19 games (18 starts) in AAA-ball last year and he was 8-5 with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Walters has now pitched in 15 games (4 starts) in parts of two years with the Cardinals and he is 2-0 with a 7.24 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. Walters will likely start the season in AAA-ball for the Cardinals in 2011.
25-year old righty Adam Ottavino comes into this season as the Cardinals’ #29 prospect according to Baseball America. Ottavino pitched in 5 games (3 starts) for the Cardinals last season and he was 0-2 with a 8.46 ERA and a 2.06 WHIP. He wasn’t missing many bats as he gave up 37 hits (5 of which were homers) in only 22 1/3 innings last season for the Cardinals. Ottavino also pitched in 9 games (all starts) in AAA-ball last season and he was 5-3 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. Ottavino will have to work his way back to St. Louis through the minors.
PROJECTED GRADE FOR THE CARDINALS STARTING ROTATION IN 2011: B