No team can match the top of the Cardinals’ rotation with Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright. 34-year old Chris Carpenter will be the Cardinals’ #1 starter in 2010. He started 28 games for the Cardinals last season and he was 17-4 with a 2.24 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP. In his six years with the Cardinals, Carpenter has pitched in 126 games (125 starts) in which he is 68-24 with a 2.91 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. If Carpenter is healthy in 2010 he will win at least 15 games.
28-year old righty Adam Wainwright really took his game up a few notches last season. He started 34 games for the Cardinals last season and he was 19-8 with a 2.63 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. In his five years with the Cardinals, Wainwright has pitched in 149 games (86 starts) in which he is 46-24 with 3 saves, a 3.17 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Wainwright has turned into a true horse at the top of the Cardinals’ rotation.
31-year old righty Kyle Lohse will try to rebound from a sub-par 2009 season for the Cardinals. He pitched in 23 games (22 starts) for the Cardinals last season in which he was 6-10 with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. The Cardinals are hoping that pitching coach Dave Duncan can get Lohse back on track as he was solid for them in 2008. In 2008, Lohse pitched in 33 games (all starts) and he was 15-6 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP.
31-year old righty Brad Penny is the perfect kind of pitcher for the Cardinals as pitching coach Dave Duncan is a expert as fixing talented guys like him. Penny started 30 games for the Giants & Red Sox last season in which he was 11-9 with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. He has pitched in 255 games (251 starts) in his 10 years in the N.L. and he is 98-76 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Penny’s game didn’t play well in the A.L. but he will not have to worry about pitching to DHs this season.
25-year old righty reliever Kyle McClellan is in the lead to become the #5 starter for the Cardinals this season. He pitched in 66 games (0 starts) for the Cardinals last season and he was 4-4 with 3 saves, a 3.38 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. He only gave up 56 hits in 66 2/3 innings last season but he walked 34 batters and that is a tad too many. If anyone can shift McClellan into the starting rotation from the bullpen it’s Dave Duncan who has succeeded with guys like Wainwright and Looper.
30-year old lefty Rich Hill has the talent but not the know how to be a good starting pitcher. He has come to the right place to learn. Hill pitched in 14 games (13 starts) for the Orioles last season and he was 3-3 with a 7.80 ERA and a 1.87 WHIP. Hill has now pitched in 78 games (70 starts) in his major league career and he is 21-20 with a 4.87 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. Hill has only given up 359 hits while whiffing 355 batters in 395 1/3 career innings in the majors but he has also walked 177 which is way too many. Hill could be a dominating pitcher if he just threw more strikes.
26-year old righty Mitchell Boggs will have to pitch better than he did last season if he wants to earn a job in the Cardinals’ starting rotation this year. Boggs pitched in 16 games (9 starts) for the Cardinals last season and he was 2-3 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.79 WHIP. Boggs gave up 71 hits and walked 33 batters in only 58 innings for the Cardinals last season and that is just not good enough to get the job done.
23-year old lefty Jaime Garcia could be the wild card for the Cardinals this season. He is the Cardinals’ #2 rated prospect coming into this season according to Baseball America. Garcia pitched in 9 games (8 starts) in Rookie+A+AAA ball last season in which he was 2-2 with a 2.87 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP. He only allowed 25 hits in 37 2/3 innings last season in the minors while whiffing 41 batters showing off his arm. Garcia pitched in 10 games (1 start) with the Cardinals in 2008 and he was 1-1 with a 5.62 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. If the need arises in the rotation for the Cardinals I think that Garcia will get a shot in 2010.
24-year old righty Adam Ottavino is the Cardinals #11 rated prospect coming into this season according to Baseball America. He started 27 games in AAA-ball last season in which he was 7-12 with a 4.75 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP. He has now pitched 4 years in the minors appearing in 92 games (all starts) in which he is 26-32 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. I would doubt that Ottavino gets a chance in 2010 with the Cardinals unless he gets off to a really good start in the minors.
PROJECTED GRADE FOR THE ROTATION IN 2010: A-